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原文发表于美国时间2022-7-25
发生了什么事情?
美国运通(Amex)在上周五公布的季度业绩财报令人眼前一亮。
这意味着什么?
当您可以在高端的会员休息室消磨时间的时候,意外的飞机延误也许就不那么令人反感了:美国运通表示,该公司用户在上个季度全球旅行和娱乐方面的支出首次超过了疫情前的水平,而这是在机场出现大规模的航班取消和延误的情况下。
美国运通客户在旅游与娱乐的消费以及健康方面的消费在该公司平台上的交易总额达到近4000亿美元。客户大力消费的结果就是推动美国运通的营收同比去年增长了31%,不但好于市场预期也创下了新纪录。
当然,度假的人们在享受旅行乐趣时,美国运通支付了更高的成本,不过该公司的整体利润仍高于市场预期。
美国运通预计这种情况会持续下去:这家信用卡巨头将第三季度的营收预期增长率从20%上调至25%,并且宣布计划在营销上投入更多的资金以吸引更多的用户。
投资者自然不会抱怨:他们的反应是推动美国运通的股票上涨了7%。
为何值得关注?
更大的图景:感谢通货膨胀
问题是,一些分析师认为,这些更高的价格最终会阻止一群客户偿还债务。似乎美国运通同意:它在上个季度拨出 4.1 亿美元来弥补任何损失。
美国运通等信用卡公司大体上受益于美国创纪录的高通胀率。信用卡客户每一次使用卡片支付时,商店均需要向信用卡公司支付客户消费金额的一定比例,故而更高的价格意味着更多的花销。
不过问题在于,一些分析师认为更高的物价最终会导致部分客户停止偿还债务。美国运通看起来也认同这一点:该公司在上季度拨备了4.1亿美元用于覆盖信贷损失
这篇文章已被翻译成中文。原英文作者Finimize。如英文版本和中文版本之间有任何不一致,以英文版本为准。该文章中的分析仅为提供信息,不是也不应该被视为推销或招揽购买任何证券。文章中讨论的一般市场活动、行业或领域趋势、或其它基于广泛的经济或政治条件的内容,不应被解释为研究结果或投资建议。讨论中提及包括的特定证券、商品、货币、或其它产品均不构成IB推荐购买,出售或持有此类投资的建议。本材料不是也不意图针对个别客户的特定财务条件、投资目标或要求。在根据本材料采取行动之前,您应该考虑是否适合您的具体情况,并在必要时寻求专业建议。
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