黄金会创下历史新高吗？

　　IB美国盈透（www.interactivebrokers.com）移动互动平台（订阅号）

　　原文发表于美国时间2022-2-28

　　黄金价格在上周四随着乌克兰冲突爆发的新闻传出而飙涨，距离2020年8月的每盎司2067美元的历史高点仅有不足5%的距离。

　　俄罗斯与乌克兰的边境紧张局势数周以来一直在日益严重，黄金价格也随之上涨，在过去30天的时间里，每盎司黄金价格上涨了逾106美元。

　　黄金价格的跳涨开始于周三晚间俄罗斯宣布展开“特别军事行动”后。黄金价格迅速升值每盎司1970美元，周四下跌，收盘跌至每盎司1906美元。

　　发生了什么事情：

　　黄金的价格通常会随着市场不确定性的增加而上涨，这也是为何黄金往往在标普500指数触及低点的同一天创下高点的原因。

　　随着投资者自股市夺门而逃，大量资金涌入黄金、白银与铂金等贵金属市场。

　　接下来会发生什么：

　　由于俄罗斯是欧洲最大的煤炭、天然气和石油供应国，乌克兰冲突可能将通胀推升至更高水平。这可能导致整个欧洲出现恶性通货膨胀，并很快影响美国经济。

　　大家目前只能猜测俄罗斯与乌克兰在未来几天、几周以及几个月时间里会发生什么事情。对于所有卷入各方来说，最好的情况是冲突可以很快和平解决，没有更多的人伤亡。

　　不过，如果局势恶化并导致更多国家卷入，黄金的价格可能再度被推涨并创下历史新高。

　　如何投资黄金？

　　黄金是一种实物资产，除了SPDR黄金指数基金等方式外，投资者的选项有限。

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　　这篇文章已被翻译成中文。原英文作者Benzinga。如英文版本和中文版本之间有任何不一致，以英文版本为准。该文章中的分析仅为提供信息，不是也不应该被视为推销或招揽购买任何证券。文章中讨论的一般市场活动、行业或领域趋势、或其它基于广泛的经济或政治条件的内容，不应被解释为研究结果或投资建议。讨论中提及包括的特定证券、商品、货币、或其它产品均不构成IB推荐购买，出售或持有此类投资的建议。本材料不是也不意图针对个别客户的特定财务条件、投资目标或要求。在根据本材料采取行动之前，您应该考虑是否适合您的具体情况，并在必要时寻求专业建议。

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