The
yellow metal has been under pressure since the Federal Reserve signaled
on Wednesday that it intends to reduce its bond purchases soon and
raise interest rates next year.
Specifically,
the Fed said that if progress continues broadly as expected, the
committee judges that a moderation in the pace of asset purchases may
soon be warranted.
The
central bank's projections for interest rate hikes also call for a rate
increase as early as 2022, which could also reduce demand for precious
metals.
In
the absence of a short-term catalyst, gold may be more influenced by
movements in the U.S. dollar, risk appetite, and rising bond yields. The
yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries rose sharply this week to 1.459%,
still supported by the prospect of a gradual tightening of U.S. Federal
Reserve monetary policy.
In
short, as Fed officials continue to discuss monetary tightening,
investors will be waiting for more visibility on their intentions before
buying gold.
From
a technical perspective chart, the price of gold this week was
supported by a bullish oblique in place since March. Although the break
of the trend line has weakened the long-term upward momentum, the yellow
metal has entered a stabilization phase.
For
several weeks, the market has been moving without a clear direction
within a range between $1,830 and $1,750, so prices are at a crossroads.
Gold
is currently trying to bounce off the lower bound. A further rotation
of prices to the opposite boundary would therefore not be out of the
question in the coming days. However, if the $1,750 support gives way to
selling pressure, then the market should begin a deeper correction
towards $1,690.

(Chart Source: Tradingview 26.09.2021)
On
the other hand, we will have to wait for the key pivot at $1,830 to be
broken to restart the buying flow and the upward momentum. As a result,
gold should continue to stabilize while awaiting the next directional
flow that will be given on the break of one of the two range bounds. As
such, traders may look to conservatively long the precious metal in this
consolidation scenario with a near-term target of $1,760 barring a firm
slip below 1,750 at the start of the week.
Support & Resistance Levels:
R3 1,827
R2 1,800
R1 1,767
S1 1,750
S2 1,732
S3 1,682
Disclaimer:
This material has been created for information purposes only. All views
expressed in this document are my own and do not necessarily represent
the opinions of any entity.